The UAE’s residential property market continues to demonstrate resilience amid regional geopolitical uncertainty, with underlying demand remaining intact as buyers adopt a more cautious and selective approach rather than withdrawing entirely.
According to Savills Middle East’s latest investor sentiment survey, conducted among investors, end users, landlords, tenants and prospective residents, nearly 45% of respondents intend to purchase property in the next 12 months, while a further 32% remain undecided. The data points to decision-making delays rather than a fundamental loss of demand.
“The data clearly shows that demand remains intact,” said Andrew Cummings, head of residential agency at Savills Middle East. “What we are seeing is a shift in behaviour rather than a drop in interest. Buyers are taking more time, becoming more selective and focusing on fundamentals such as location, quality and long-term value.”
After several years of strong post-pandemic growth, the residential market is now moving into what Savills describes as a more balanced and mature phase. Transaction activity remains high by historical standards, supported by population growth, capital inflows and a strong development pipeline, but momentum has moderated in recent months as buyers take a more cautious approach.
Importantly, the slowdown is not being driven by distress selling. More than 60% of existing property owners surveyed said they plan to hold or expand their portfolios over the next six months, with only around 4% considering selling. This lack of selling pressure has helped support prices across several segments, even as transaction volumes soften.
“The absence of widespread selling pressure reflects continued confidence among existing property owners. As a result, the market is moving towards a more balanced and sustainable phase rather than experiencing any structural correction.”
Pricing expectations, however, have moderated. More than 80% of respondents expect prices to either remain stable or soften over the next year, contributing to longer transaction timelines and increased negotiation, particularly in the apartment segment where supply is perceived to be higher. Savills noted that this has created a gap between buyer expectations and seller pricing, resulting in slower deal-making rather than outright price declines.
Buyer preferences are also shifting notably. Around 60% of respondents expressed a preference for ready properties, compared with about 23% favouring off-plan homes, reflecting a growing emphasis on certainty around delivery, pricing and immediate usability.
External factors are playing an increasingly important role in shaping sentiment. Regional and geopolitical uncertainty emerged as the single biggest barrier to market entry, outweighing traditional concerns such as pricing or financing. Even so, Savills said the survey showed little evidence of knee-jerk seller reactions.
Looking ahead, the firm expects the market to continue adjusting in the near term, with softer transaction volumes and more deliberate deal-making. While secondary apartments may face greater pressure, villas and prime residential assets are expected to remain relatively resilient, supported by the UAE’s long-term fundamentals and population growth.
The findings align with recent market data showing sustained activity across the emirate. Dubai’s property market has demonstrated resilience with little evidence of distressed deals, while April 2026 sales reached Dh48 billion across nearly 14,000 transactions despite early signs of price moderation.
