The market is expected to remain resilient throughout 2026, with sales prices and rental rates likely to record further increases in the near term, although the pace of growth will vary across communities as new supply gradually enters the market.
Record-Breaking 2025 Performance
In 2025, Abu Dhabi’s residential real estate market delivered a record-breaking performance, with total transaction volumes reaching approximately 22,400 deals—up 55% year-on-year—while total sales value climbed to AED73.2 billion. This performance was driven by robust end-user demand, sustained investor activity, and a wave of new project launches that kept the off-plan segment at the center of market activity.
Apartments dominated the market, accounting for 66.1% of transactions, while villas and townhouses also recorded strong growth, supported by demand from families and high-net-worth individuals seeking larger living spaces.
Off-Plan Segment Leads Market Activity
The off-plan segment continued to lead market activity, accounting for 71% of total transactions, supported by flexible payment plans, competitive developer incentives, and strategic launches across key districts. Meanwhile, ready market activity also remained resilient, supported by population growth, rising rental costs, and a growing shift among tenants toward homeownership.
On the supply side, residential stock continued to expand steadily, with approximately 7,400 units completed in 2025, bringing total supply to around 315,000 units. While approximately 15,900 units are projected for completion in 2026, recent handover trends suggest actual deliveries are likely to be lower, in the range of 6,500-9,000 units. This measured pace of supply delivery is expected to support pricing momentum and help prevent near-term market imbalances.
Sustained Price Growth Across All Segments
Apartment sales prices in Abu Dhabi continued their upward trajectory in 2025, rising 15.1% year-on-year, accelerating from the 10.9% growth recorded in 2024. This strong price performance was driven by a broadening buyer base, as owner-occupiers sought affordable homeownership amid rising rental costs and investors were attracted by strong rental yields and capital appreciation potential.
Villa sales prices grew 12.2% year-on-year in 2025, slightly accelerating from 11.6% in 2024, driven by a combination of end-user and investor demand. This trend has been shaped largely by the post-pandemic shift in lifestyle priorities, with buyers increasingly seeking larger living spaces, community-focused environments, and access to outdoor areas.
Rental growth also remained robust, with apartment rents rising 12.5% and villa rents increasing 5.5%. Elevated rental levels have further reinforced sales demand, as tenants increasingly viewed homeownership as a more cost-effective long-term option.
Structural Demand Drivers Remain in Place
Looking forward, transaction activity is expected to remain elevated in 2026, with the off-plan segment continuing to lead the market. Several structural factors are expected to support robust housing demand beyond 2026, including population growth, continued talent inflows, business-friendly visa policies, and expanding employment across various sectors.
Long-term residency initiatives, including the Golden Visa program, are also expected to broaden the buyer base by attracting high-net-worth individuals and professionals seeking stable, long-term ties to the emirate.
Taking these factors into account, Abu Dhabi’s residential market is expected to enter 2026 from a position of strength. Supply discipline, strong investor confidence, and a supportive macroeconomic backdrop support market resilience and help mitigate external shocks. While potential risks should continue to be monitored, the likelihood of a broad market correction remains relatively low, supporting the outlook for sustainable growth throughout the year.
The Abu Dhabi market’s performance mirrors broader trends across the UAE, where expatriates now drive 62% of home sales and the UAE real estate sector concluded 2025 with exceptional growth led by Abu Dhabi’s record-breaking performance.